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Writer's pictureDoug Casterton

The Stagnation of Forecasting in WFM Systems

Let’s face it, Workforce Management forecasting has been the backbone of contact center operations for ages. But as customer interactions evolve faster than you can say “omnichannel,” our forecasting methods need to keep up. It’s time to dive into the journey of WFM forecasting, explore why outdated methods are holding us back, and uncover the innovative solutions shaping the future.


A Trip Down Memory Lane

Back in the early 2000s, WFM forecasting was pretty straightforward. We relied on basic algorithms and linear models, which worked well enough when contact centers were simpler beasts, mainly handling voice calls with predictable volumes.

Fast forward to today, and not much has changed in the WFM forecasting world. Most WFM systems are still clinging to those same old techniques, struggling to keep pace with the dynamic nature of modern contact centers.


The Cost of Living in the Past

Sticking with outdated forecasting methods is like trying to predict the weather with a licked finger in the air. Here’s why it’s a problem:


Staffing Nightmares: Poor forecasts lead to either too many agents twiddling their thumbs or not enough to handle the workload. It’s a lose-lose situation that leaves customers frustrated and resources wasted.


Money Down the DrainInefficient staffing isn’t just a headache… it’s a financial drain. It’s like throwing money out the window while simultaneously setting fire to your productivity.


Agent BurnoutWhen forecasts miss the mark, it’s the agents who suffer. They’re either run off their feet or bored out of their minds. Neither scenario is good for morale or retention.


Channel ChaosModern contact centers are juggling multiple channels: voice, email, chat, and social media. Traditional forecasts struggle to predict demand across these varied touchpoints, leading to a hot mess of resource allocation.


Missed OpportunitiesWithout precise forecasting, optimizing operations becomes a game of pin the tail on the donkey. We’re missing out on chances to improve efficiency and customer satisfaction.


Ignoring the Power of Data: The potential of big data and AI remains largely untapped in WFM forecasting. It’s like having a Ferrari in the garage but choosing to ride a bicycle.


Why Innovation is No Longer Optional

As contact centers become more complex, sophisticated forecasting solutions are no longer a nice-to-have… they’re a must-have. Here’s why:


Tackling Modern ChallengesToday’s contact centers are dealing with remote workforces, hybrid models, and rapidly changing customer behaviors. Innovative forecasting tools can help navigate these complexities without breaking a sweat.


Embracing Advanced TechIntegrating machine learning and AI can significantly boost forecast accuracy and flexibility.


Happy Agents, Happy LifeAccurate forecasts ensure that staffing levels are just right, reducing agent stress and improving job satisfaction. And we all know that happy agents lead to better customer interactions and higher retention rates.


Multi-Skill, Multi-Channel MagicModern WFM solutions need to handle multiple skills and channels seamlessly. Advanced forecasting tools can predict demand across various platforms, ensuring optimal resource allocation.


Planning for the Unexpected: What-if analyses and automated scenario planning allow contact centers to prepare for unexpected spikes or drops in demand. It’s like having a crystal ball but with actual data to back it up.


The Trailblazers Pushing the Envelope

The WFM forecasting landscape is evolving, thanks to some forward-thinking vendors pushing the envelope with cutting-edge solutions that address the pain points of traditional forecasting methods head-on.

Here are a few standout features to look out for:


AI-Powered Forecasting Engines: Gone are the days of relying on basic algorithms and linear models. Today’s advanced forecasting tools leverage machine learning to crunch vast amounts of data, delivering highly accurate predictions that adapt to changing conditions. These solutions can outperform even the most skilled manual forecasters in seconds rather than hours. It’s like having a crystal ball but with actual data to back it up.


Automated Repeat Contact Detection: One of the game-changers in modern forecasting is the ability to get comprehensive insights into repeat contacts and fresh volume through fully automated repeat contact detectors. This technology offers unmatched event management capabilities, including automatic historical impact detection and extrapolation to future effects. It’s particularly useful for handling marketing campaigns and other events that can significantly impact contact volumes.


Robust Intraday Pattern Forecasting: Advanced algorithms, like sophisticated spline solutions, are revolutionizing intraday pattern forecasting. These tools provide dependable and robust predictions by taking into account both preceding and trailing time slots, all with minimal input required. This level of precision enhances decision-making processes and ensures more accurate staffing throughout the day.


Powerful Scenario Comparison: Modern forecasting platforms offer the ability to create, save, and compare an unlimited number of forecasted scenarios. This feature allows contact centers to discover endless possibilities and analyze “what-if” scenarios effortlessly. You can experience the magic of powerful predictions and analysis with just a few clicks.


Event Handling Capabilities: Look for solutions that excel in event handling. Advanced WFM forecasting systems should offer automatic historical impact detection for events like marketing campaigns, product launches, or seasonal spikes. The ability to extrapolate these impacts to future occurrences is crucial for accurate forecasting. This feature ensures that your contact center is always prepared for both planned and unexpected events that can significantly affect contact volumes.


The Investment Gap: A Thorn in Our Side

Despite the clear benefits, there’s a noticeable investment gap in WFM forecasting technologies. In my opinion, a couple of factors contribute to this gap:


Lack of Economic Incentive: Many WFM systems are packaged as free add-ons with larger technology purchases, reducing the perceived economic benefit of investing in advanced forecasting.


Legacy System Inertia: Businesses often stick with legacy systems due to the perceived complexity and cost of transitioning to new solutions. This inertia hampers the adoption of innovative forecasting tools.


Closing the Gap: A Call to Action

To bridge the investment gap and propel WFM forecasting into the future, both vendors and contact centers need to step up their game:


Prioritize Forecasting Innovation: Vendors should focus on developing advanced forecasting tools that address the unique challenges of modern contact centers. Innovation should be at the forefront of their product development strategies.


Boost R&D Investment: Allocating more resources to research and development will accelerate the creation of sophisticated forecasting technologies, enhancing their applicability and effectiveness.


Form Strategic Partnerships: Collaborations with tech companies and academic institutions can drive innovation, bringing fresh perspectives and cutting-edge technologies into the WFM space.

Embrace a Data-Driven Culture: Emphasizing the importance of data in decision-making processes ensures that organizations leverage the full potential of their forecasting tools.


Upskill WFM Teams: Investing in training for WFM teams in data science and analytics equips them with the skills needed to utilize advanced forecasting technologies effectively.


Foster Continuous Improvement: Encouraging a mindset of experimentation and ongoing improvement helps organizations stay adaptable and responsive to changing demands.


The Future is Bright (If We Make It So)

The future of Workforce Management forecasting lies in embracing innovation and leveraging advanced technologies. By addressing the shortcomings of traditional methods and investing in cutting-edge solutions, contact centers can enhance their operational efficiency, reduce costs, and improve both agent and customer satisfaction.

As we move forward, the integration of AI and machine learning will play a pivotal role in transforming forecasting accuracy and flexibility. Cloud-native platforms will continue to provide the scalability needed to handle the complexities of modern contact centers, while advanced analytics will offer deeper insights into customer behaviors and operational performance.

For contact centers aiming to stay ahead of the curve, the message is clear: invest in innovative forecasting technologies and cultivate a data-driven, adaptable culture. The benefits are undeniable… better staffing decisions, enhanced efficiency, and happier agents and customers.


Wrapping It Up

Workforce Management forecasting has come a long way, but there’s still a significant journey ahead. By acknowledging the limitations of outdated methods and embracing the advancements of today’s technology, contact centers can position themselves for sustained success in an ever-evolving landscape.

Let’s commit to driving innovation in WFM forecasting… because when we get the numbers right, everyone wins. It’s time to bridge the gap between the old school and the new cool and create a future where accurate forecasting is the norm, not the exception.

So, are you ready to revolutionize your WFM forecasting? The future is calling, and it’s time to answer.


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